• The secrets of Pearl Harbor

    Since Trump’s election, the leading cryptocurrency, bitcoin, has surged by approximately 50%, and it’s up more than 100% over the past year. Does this indicate that crypto is truly emerging as an alternative form of money? I have my doubts, but there is no denying that crypto currently has the Zeitgeist tailwind.
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  • The other shoe is about to drop

    The UK economy is slowing down yet again. Real incomes are declining. Taxes are going up. Is it any wonder the new government is already deeply unpopular? Just you wait, things are about to get worse…
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  • A global revenue bargain

    On the menu this week: ❖ Calling time on the Trump stock market party ❖ Conspiracy Corner: What was WWI really about? ❖ On the radar… It’s been a busy week here at Southbank Investment Research. My colleague Nick Hubble is in town and we’ve been working to put together a series of interviews featuring
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  • Trump’s historic victory

    The stock market soared on Trump’s historic victory. Is it justified in doing so? Probably not, although not for the reasons you might expect. Notwithstanding the current Labour government, the UK actually has much to gain from another Trump presidency, if it seizes the opportunity to do so.
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  • Yes, I called it!

    The media are abuzz with the surprising, landslide US election results. Not only has Trump won by a huge margin; he appears to have held the Republican House majority and even to have flipped the Senate. What might this mean for the financial markets? The dollar? Gold? Investment director John Butler offers some insights in this brief video.
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  • Gunpowder, treason and plot

    This week, I stick my neck out and make a prediction regarding this week’s US elections. I also offer some thoughts on what Labour’s first budget means for Britain. Neither is likely to make me any friends.
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  • Is the stock market in the clear?

    On the menu this week: ❖ Is the stock market in the clear? ❖ Conspiracy Corner: “Shoeless” Joe and the Chicago “Black Sox” ❖ On the radar… With Labour’s first budget and the US elections looming, we’re all living under a barrage of big headlines. One could be forgiven for seeking a distraction of sorts.
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  • Trump’s tariff tease

    As Trump pulls away in the polls, his economic and trade policy proposals get taken more seriously by the financial markets and by other countries. How might they react to a Trump tariff? Or is it possible there won’t be a Trump tariff at all?
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  • Lies, damn lies and statistics

    With the US elections less than one month away, I suspect financial markets are likely to spend more time watching the associated political drama than analysing economic data. So, I’ll buck the trend this week and take another one of my occasional “deep data dives” and see what, if anything, I can find that others
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  • Energy’s roaring comeback

    Following a lengthy, large decline, oil prices have spiked higher in recent days, perhaps due to developments in the Middle East. This could, in turn, push inflation and interest rates higher again, the last thing that a slowing global economy needs. The risk of a stock market correction is still growing.
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